Only U.S. Strength
Can Defeat Islamism By David Gutmann
Military commanders from Julius Caesar to
Norman Schwarzkopf have paid as much attention to the group
psychology of their opponents as to the quality and quantity of
their arms. National character and shared temperament, after all,
bear directly on a population’s fighting spirit.
Such moral and
psychological judgments of our Islamist enemies are currently off
limits to our strategists and commentators, however; whether
accurate or not, they are considered to smack of ethnic profiling, a
contemporary sin. But in wartime, hard-won street smarts about
national character are a military resource that should not be
ignored, and at present we keenly need intimate knowledge of
Islamist radicalism.
Human
societies can be loosely divided into two groups: those governed by
shame and those governed by guilt. Though often conflicting, guilt
and shame are both normal functions of the human psyche. In
different individuals and societies, how-ever, one or the other may
predominate.
Guilt-dominant
individuals tend to mistrust their own native aggression, and they
will act to protect others from it.
When they
are in the majority, they tend to maintain societies that will go to
war only after they have been attacked. Tolerance, moderation, and
charity are the official virtues of “guilt” societies, and play a
part in shaping their educational practice, legislation, and foreign
policy.
By
contrast, shame-vulnerable individuals are constantly vigilant
toward aggressions of others against their sense of honor. If
insulted, they feel humiliation and rage. The shame-prone willingly
submit only when the external power appears so invincible that there
is no alternative but surrender. Beneath their outward defiance, the
shame-prone often hold unconscious yearnings to be submissive; the
seemingly omnipotent conqueror allows them to be passive without
shame.
The
cultivation of victim-hood is common in shame societies. Shame-prone
men will look for malign external agents to rationalize any
humiliation, for the victim is, by definition, not responsible for
his own troubles. And the claims of victimhood eliminate any guilty
inhibitions against aggression, and unlock the fury that drives the
terrorist legions of shame-based societies.
There are
no pure shame cultures. But both Sparta and the Confederacy were
societies dominated by the avoidance of shame and the quest for
honor, as were the Axis powers of Germany, Italy, and Japan in World
War II. The most extreme shame-based societies have always been
associated with ruthless warfare.
At present, the Islamic Middle East is where we see
shame-based cultures in their purest form. The war against terror
puts us in conflict with the most militant factions of highly
shame-avoidant societies. While we are told much about the economic,
ethnic, and sectarian influences that motivate these opponents of
America, psycho-cultural elements of their radicalism have been
neglected.
In this
essay I will use my knowledge as a clinical psychologist and my own
experience in Middle Eastern war (as an ex-member of the Israeli
Hagana) to consider some of the ways in which these shame-avoidant
societies may wage battle against us. Bear in mind that I am not
describing all Middle Easterners, but only group tendencies that are
prevalent there today.
Middle
Eastern Arabs in particular are currently suffering from a deep
crisis of shame. Their physical, scientific, and economic
backwardness in relation to the West is mortifyingly evident. Their
military defeats at the hands of the Israelis and of the various
coalition forces in Kuwait and now Iraq are plain to see. Throughout
history, when Arabs have gone to war, it has not primarily been for
strategic or economic reasons but rather to escape the stigma of
shame. By prevailing in battle, they export shame to the defeated
enemy. Today, Arab agitators insist that their honor has been taken
from them and replaced by shame. They call for whatever means will
get honor back.
Shame
societies are most likely to attack an enemy who appears weak,
rather than strong and threatening. The weak enemy is corrupt,
effeminate, and ready to surrender his honor. The enemy’s perceived
weakness is like catnip to shame-mongers, as they fantasize about
the foe’s humiliation. Since 1947, Israeli-Palestinian relations
have oscillated between war and peace, depending on whether the
Arabs saw the Jews as shamefully weak or as intimidatingly strong. A
brief history of that conflict tells us much about Arab management
of shame.
Prior to
the 1947-48 Israeli War of Independence, the Palestinian leadership
viewed the Israelis as terminally puny—“Children of Death”—and
rejected a U.N. plan that would have divided the Holy Land into Arab
and Jewish states. Believing that they, aided by the surrounding
Arab armies, could easily drive 650,000 poorly armed Hebrews “into
the sea,” the Palestinians refused partition, and initiated a war of
extermination. But while the Hebrews stood their ground, paid their
heavy butcher’s bill, and prevailed, most Palestinians fled, to
become homeless refugees. They have never recovered from the shame
of that flight from the despised Yahud.
Churchill
once remarked of the Germans—another shame-prone people—that “The
Hun is either at your throat or at your feet,” referring to their
tendency to fight like hell until soundly defeated, and then to
vegetate torpidly under the conqueror’s heel.
Similarly
with the Palestinians: From 1949 until 1987 there was no significant
Intifada. As long as the Israelis had the reputation of military
supermen that they earned in the Six Days War, the Palestinians
could tolerate a relatively peaceful co-existence under Jewish
dominion.
After
almost 40 years of relative Palestinian quiescence, however,
profound degenerative changes in Israeli society shook up the
relationship. The decline of the Labor party, the unpopular Lebanese
war, and the growing political clout of the Orthodox led to social
disunity and a decline in the military effectiveness of the once
mighty Israeli Defense Force. An emerging anti-war movement
preaching “Land for Peace” added to the impression of Israeli
decadence. The pacifism shown by guilt-prone Israeli peaceniks was
not read as morality by the shame-haunted Palestinians, but as
evidence of weakness and lack of resolve: The Jews are fed up with
war; kill some of them and they will plead for terms. The first
Intifada of 1987 was thus not in response (as is endlessly claimed)
to Jewish settlements and brutality, but to perceived Jewish
weakness.
The
precipitate Israeli retreat from Lebanon in 2000 probably gave the
real coup de grace to the Oslo peace process. “The Women in
Black”—mothers of Israeli boys who had died in Lebanon—ululated on
the border, demanding immediate and unconditional withdrawal.
Israeli prime minister Ehud Barak complied, pulling out his forces
so quickly that they dishonored themselves, abandoning equipment to
Hezbollah and putting Israel’s Lebanese Christian allies at grave
risk.
Arafat
seems to have drawn the predictable conclusions from this debacle.
The Jews could not tolerate casualties, weepy women set their
military policies, and determined guerillas could make them run.
Arafat brought these conclusions to the Camp David meetings with
Clinton and Barak in the summer of 2000. The Jews offered hitherto
unthinkable concessions: a Palestinian state with East Jerusalem as
its capital, control of the Temple Mount and 95 percent of the West
Bank territories. Yet Arafat remained rigid. Each Israeli concession
seemed a further sign that the Jews were begging for terms. If he
turned up the heat, he might get even more.
In
addition, the residue of Palestinian shame from 1948 would not let
Arafat passively accept a state handed to him by the Americans. The
Palestinians should not only gain their state, but shed their
historic shame. They would win Palestine as the Jews had won
Israel—through an ordeal of blood and fire that this time around
would leave the Zionists shamed and dispossessed.
But Arafat
had mistakenly confounded the Peace Now crowd with the entire
Israeli population. Not all Hebrews were fearful and guilty; some
were angry as hell about being terrorized. Ariel Sharon, the hawk
from Israel’s own “shame” party, Likud, was elected by a large
majority to replace Barak, the dove from the Labor Party “guilt”
faction. Soon after, the IDF went back into the West Bank in force
to root out the jihadi nests.
The
decisive battle was fought in the Jenin refugee camp, where the
Israelis negated their own shame by dispensing with their advantage
in heavy weapons and fighting a man-to-man infantry battle with the
dug-in Palestinians. Despite taking heavy losses, the Israelis broke
the back of the resistance in Jenin and other West Bank cities. They
also dispatched the illusion that fuels much of the Intifada—that
the Israelis are cowards who hide behind their tanks and cry for
their mothers. Since Jenin,a new note, less delusional, less
boastful, and more introspective, has appeared in the Palestinian
rank and file, and among some of the leadership.
According
to the Israeli and American doves, all-out military action would
only accelerate the cycle of violence. They were wrong. While
suicide bombings do continue (at a reduced rate), there are finally
open expressions of discontent with Arafat. The post-Jenin
Palestinians are finally admitting that some of their own leaders,
not just the Jews, are corrupt and wrong. There are open attempts to
replace Arafat, though he has so far beaten these back with support
from the Palestinian terror factions and the
Europeans.
Israel
is learning what Americans discovered earlier when fighting shame
societies. The Union found that only total war would defeat the
Confederate shame-and-honor society. Half a million men had to die,
and Sherman had to burn his way through Georgia, before the proud
Southerners put down their arms. And when we fought Germany, Italy,
and Japan in World War II—all of them flagrant shame societies—we
again had to put aside the pieties of our own guilt society and wage
utterly bloody war.
The
militaristic, authoritarian Germans and Japanese would not give up
their fantasies of global conquest until the “decadent” democracies
destroyed their armies, burned and atomized their cities, and sunk
their fleets. Their arrogant, shame-obsessed rulers had to be
jailed, or hung, before more sensible leaders could be
installed.
Paradoxically,
these total wars did not lead to a cycle of violence and enduring
hate, but to lasting peace. After waging pitiless war, we showed
great mercy to the former Axis powers and helped rebuild them from a
rubbly waste into our major economic competitors. But in order to
win their hearts and minds, mercy had to follow might, not precede
it. When mercy shows first, the shame-prone will view it as a sign
of guilt and weakness; but when generosity follows total war, it is
like Allah’s mercy, a blessing from a power of unquestioned
omnipotence.
Unless we
use the leverage of the Arab shame dynamic, we are not likely to
impose the Pax Americana on the terrorist states. Terror—the one
form of war in which they outdo the West—is the default military
option for Islamic militants, and one which they eagerly take up
after their regular armies have been humiliated. Terrorism can be,
after all, a more efficient means of shedding and exporting shame
than outright war. In the shame calculus, the guerilla is like David
talking on Goliath: Morally speaking, he never loses. Thus,
defeatist reporters document a “quagmire,” and driven by unmanly
fear, the enemy’s civilians may begin to demand an end to the costly
struggle. Like the French in Algeria, the Soviets in Afghanistan,
and the Israelis in Lebanon, the humiliated enemy, defeated by a
numerically inferior but spiritually superior force, will carry the
weight of Arab shame with him as he slinks away.
America
cannot allow such a show of weakness in Iraq. The terrorist
organizations must be smashed, and their sponsoring nations made to
pay the price. If we withdraw in feebleness, triumphant Islamic
terrorism will increase catastrophically.
Al-Qaeda,
Hamas, Hezbollah, and their clones will never completely disappear,
but like the Afghan Taliban, they can be suppressed long enough for
democratically inclined rulers to surface. Secured against the
traditional Middle Eastern politics of assassination, more rational
leaders could consolidate military power and popular support to the
point where they are able to prevail against extremists. The example
set by such new Iraqi leadership could spread rapidly across this
troubled region.
But
only American forces unhampered by guilt and refusing to be shamed
can bring Allah’s mercy to the Middle East.