GENEVA: A BLOW TO PEACE
By AMIR TAHERI
December 7, 2003 --
IT was bound to happen: a virtual Middle East peace
accord in a world of virtual reality.
The so-called Geneva Accord, signed last week by Yossi Beilin, a
former Israeli justice minister, and Yasser Abd-Rabbo, a former aide to
Yasser Arafat, has met with a mixture of childlike enthusiasm by some
and wizened cynicism by others.
Jimmy Carter has rushed to endorse the accord with one of his
trademark Colgate smiles. The accord has also won some me-tooist support
from a Kofi Annan looking for a side-stool for his United Nations. Colin
Powell has been tempted into entertaining the architects of the accord
at a tea-and-sympathy session.
Norway, which regards itself as a "soft sAuperpower,"
has called for a summit in Italy this week to support the accord.
At the other end of the spectrum, the accord (part of a corpus of
texts thicker than Tolstoy's "War and Peace") has attracted derision
and/or anger from the Sharonistas inside and outside Israel.
Little attention, however, has been paid to the reactions that the
accord has provoked among Israel's Arab neighbors, especially the
Palestinians.
A day after the champagne and caviar ceremony in Geneva, thousands of
Palestinians marched in Gaza to denounce what they saw as a "sell-out"
by Abd-Rabbo. A more official condemnation came from the Palestinian
Dar al-Fatwa (House of Edicts) which declared the accord to be "haraam"
(forbidden) and a violation of "the sacred principles of Islamic
justice."
Arafat, who still pulls most of the strings on the Palestinian side,
has responded with one of his classic
"yes-but-no-maybe-perhaps-not-we-shall-see" equivocations. Other Arab
political reaction has been dismissive or hostile.
The pan-Arab daily Asharq Al-Awsat branded the accord "a fruit
of illusions." Arab News welcomed it as a means of weakening Ariel
Sharon's hold on power. Egypt's state-owned media lashed out at the
"betrayal" of the "right of return" to Israel for an estimated 5.5
million Palestinians.
Syria's state-owned media adopted a similar position. But they also
saw the accord as a sign of Israel's weakening resolve. The newspaper
Tishrin, the ruling Ba'ath Party's mouthpiece, claims that the accord
shows that the Intifada is forcing the "Zionist enemy" to look for a way
out of its "quagmire."
The Lebanese media, always looking over their shoulder to Damascus,
have come out with much the same analysis. They see a "growing mood of
desperation" in Israel and insist that the continuation of the Intifada
will eventually break the Jewish state. Readers are reminded of what is
presented as Hezbollah's "historic victory" to drive Israel out of
southern Lebanon during Ehud Barak's premiership.
In Saudi Arabia and other Persian Gulf states, mosque preachers have
denounced the accord as "a conspiracy to end the Intifada." One typical
theme in these sermons is that just as Britain was obliged to hand Hong
Kong over to China after 100 years, the Jews will end up returning the
whole of Palestine to the Arabs.
The Geneva episode may conjure a couple of Nobel prizes for those
involved. But anyone with a closer understanding of the conflict would
know that such moves, far from contributing to peace, may render
peacemaking more difficult.
There are several reasons for this:
* The architects of the Geneva Accord assume that making peace is a
diplomatic and technical, rather than a political,
issue: They assume it is enough to have "a good plan" and some technical
ingenuity to end a conflict, even though it may lack the political
support base without which no peace is possible. This technocratic
method excludes the people from decision-making on the grounds that
lesser mortals lack the know-how to handle "complex problems."
* The accord tries to circumvent states and other political
institutions that are ultimately responsible for its implementation. The
Geneva method assumes that Israel and the Palestinians are two tribes at
war with no parliament and no government structures through which peace
can be negotiated. The task is thus devolved to self-appointed
whitebeards. This diminishes the status of both sides and assumes
equivalence between Israel and the Palestinian Authority.
* The accord presents complex issues as simple irritants that could
be sorted out over a cup of tea. It is no accident that the document
devotes more space to sharing "the electromagnetic space" between Israel
and a hypothetical Palestinian state than to the issue of how many
Palestinians can settle in Israel.
Much of the Geneva Accord is based on the Oslo deal, which brought 10
years of bloodshed in which more Palestinians and Israelis have died
than in the preceding five decades. It also includes the offers that
Arafat rejected at Wye River, Camp David and, finally, Taba.
The "wise men" of Geneva may not have realized it, but by ignoring
normal political institutions - especially elected organs of
decision-making - they may have bestowed some legitimacy on those who
want the future of Palestine to be decided by unelected militants and
suicide-bombers. After all, if Beilin and Abd-Rabbo can sign an accord,
there is no reason why militant Jewish settlers and Hamas
suicide-bombers should not have the right to tear up any accord.
By launching a sideshow, the Geneva crowd provide a ready excuse to
keep the so-called "roadmap for peace" on the backburner for as long as
possible.
The Geneva Accord is a solution in search of a problem that is never
defined. There could be no serious peacemaking unless at least three
conditions are met.
* There should be a genuine will on both sides to end the
conflict. This may have been the case a decade ago, but is not so at
present. A great deal of confidence building and a reasonable period of
calm are needed before a will to peace can manifest itself once again.
* Palestine should cease to be a cause celebre for Arab
despots, return-ticket Western revolutionaries and Nobel Prize hunters.
The less those guys meddle in this conflict, the greater will be the
chance of bringing it to an end.
For decades, Arab despots and Western leftists have presented
Palestine as a cause to die for - meaning, of course, that Palestinians
and Israelis should do the dying. Peace will become possible only when
Palestine becomes a cause to live for, with the Palestinians and
Israelis doing the living.
* There can be no genuine peace between any two neighbors unless
both are democracies.
Some may object to this by pointing out that Egypt and Jordan - which
no one could accuse of being democracies - have signed peace treaties
with Israel. But have Egypt and Jordan really made peace with Israel?
You can find the answer by simply delving into the Egyptian and
Jordanian media for a day or two. Others may claim that Israel is not a
democracy either. Well, assuming that is the case, all the more reason
why no real peace is possible at present.
Unable to think seriously, the architects of the Geneva Accord and
their cheering fans have ended up creating a framework of fantasy that
disposes of the need for thinking.
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